The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Friday, October 22, 2004

Kerry Loses Minnesota & Pennsylvania

A new state poll showing President Bush with a 2% point lead in Minnesota causes the Brown Bear to designate that state a Tossup (K).

The Brown Bear sees Pennsylvania flop again, this time back to Tossup (K). Today's catalyst was a new state poll showing Senator Kerry with only 1% point lead.

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