The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Saturday, October 23, 2004

Afternoon Update

The current results from the Brown Bear are:


President Bush 50.56%

Senator Kerry 47.64%

This is an insignificant change from yesterday. After three days of tiny moves in Senator Kerry's direction, we now have a tiny move in President Bush's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 261

Senator Kerry 207

Tossup 70

The Brown Bear saw one minor move yesterday.

Hawaii Solid Kerry to Likely Kerry

With tossups included, George Bush leads John Kerry 300 to 238.

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