The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Morning Update

The current results from the Brown Bear are:

President Bush 50.50%

Senator Kerry 47.70%

This is a not quite significant change in Senator Kerry's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 276

Senator Kerry 228

Tossup 34

After processing a half dozen new state polls, The Brown Bear saw one major move yesterday.

<>Ohio Close Bush to Tossup (B)

The Brown Bear also saw one minor move yesterday.

New Hampshire Tossup (B) to Tossup (K)


Including Tossups, President Bush now leads Senator Kerry 296 to 242.

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