The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Monday, November 01, 2004

Morning Update!

The current results from the Brown Bear are:

President Bush 50.73%

Senator Kerry 47.47%

This is an insignificant change in Senator Kerry's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 259

Senator Kerry 207

Tossup 72

After processing more than a twenty new state polls and four new national polls, The Brown Bear saw no major moves yesterday and only three minor moves.


Delaware Close Kerry to Likely Kerry

Maine Close Kerry to Likely Kerry

Nevada Close Bush to Likely Bush

Including Tossups, President Bush still leads Senator Kerry 296 to 242.

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