The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Saturday, October 30, 2004

Afternoon Update!

The current results from the Brown Bear are:

President Bush 50.67%

Senator Kerry 47.53%

This is a not quite significant change in President Bush's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 266

Senator Kerry 207

Tossup 65

After processing more than a dozen new state polls, The Brown Bear saw one major move yesterday.

Pennsylvania Close Kerry to Tossup (K)

The Brown Bear saw no minor moves yesterday.

Including Tossups, President Bush still leads Senator Kerry 296 to 242.

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