The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Friday, October 29, 2004

Morning Update!

The current results from the Brown Bear are:


President Bush 50.53%

Senator Kerry 47.67%

This is an insignificant change in President Bush's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 266

Senator Kerry 228

Tossup 44

After processing more than 15 new state polls, one new national poll and updating four national tracking polls, The Brown Bear saw no moves yesterday, major or minor. This is the first day since the Brown Bear began tracking polls ten days ago with no moves among the states.

Including Tossups, President Bush still leads Senator Kerry 296 to 242.

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