The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Election Morning Update!

On the morning of election day The current results from the Brown Bear are:

President Bush 50.61%

Senator Kerry 47.59%

This is a not quite significant change in Senator Kerry's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 279

Senator Kerry 190

Tossup 69

After processing more than 20 new state polls, the Brown Bear saw two major moves yesterday.

Michigan Close Kerry to Tossup (K)

Ohio Tossup (B) to Close Bush



The Brown Bear also saw three minor moves yesterday.

New Hampshire Tossup (K) to Tossup (B)

New Jersey Likely Kerry to Close Kerry

Missouri Likely Bush to Close Bush



Including Tossups, President Bush now leads Senator Kerry 300 to 238.

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