The Brown Bear

The Brown Bear presents a model of the electoral vote using state polls, national polls, and historical voting patterns.

Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Morning Update

The current results from the Brown Bear are:

President Bush 50.43%

Senator Kerry 47.77%

This is an insignificant change in Senator Kerry's direction.


The Brown Bear puts the electoral vote count at:

President Bush 276

Senator Kerry 228

Tossup 34

After processing a dozen new state polls, The Brown Bear saw only two minor moves yesterday.


<>Missouri Close Bush to Likely Bush

North Carolina Likely Bush to Solid Bush

Including Tossups, George Bush still leads Senator Kerry 296 to 242 electoral votes.

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