Bush Leads!

The current results of the election model are:

President Bush 50.78%

Senator Kerry 47.42%

The electoral vote count currently stands at:

President Bush 274

Senator Kerry 210

Tossup 54

As it stands now, President Bush has enough electoral votes to win without capturing any tossup states. However, a recent poll showing Senator Kerry with a one point lead in Florida shows how close this race is. Even with this poll, Bush leads Florida by 2.95% (percentage points). The margin must be less than 2% for a state to be considered a tossup.